Morning Call
Wednesday, September 13, 2023
At least to start the Tuesday US trade, outside market influences of the dollar (the dollar did reject initial weakness) and US treasury rates narrowly favor the bull camp.
However, gold and silver have not embraced noted support from outside markets recently and that might be the result of residual global #inflation readings keeping a measure of rate hike prospects in place.
In fact, Spain overnight registered a hot +0.5% monthly wholesale price reading and there are concerns that tomorrow's US CPI report will match expectations of a gain of 0.5%...[MORE]
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Sep 12 (Reuters) - Gold prices slipped to a more than two-week low on Tuesday, weighed down by an uptick in the dollar ahead of widely watched U.S. inflation print that could provide more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory.
Spot gold was down 0.5% at $1,911.70 per ounce by 1133 GMT, its lowest since Aug. 25. U.S. gold futures dipped 0.6% to $1,934.90...[LINK]
While the headlines overnight from the press suggest that gold and silver prices are higher this morning off speculation of hot inflation from the US later this week, we suggest that is an overstatement or not the case yet.
At least recently the major focus of the gold trade has been the direction of the dollar with the direction of treasuries periodically taking control.
Therefore, seeing the dollar correct after extending its uptrend last week some gold and silver bulls are hopeful the dollar will have trouble extending the upward pattern in the coming week...[MORE]
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Sep 11 (Reuters) - Gold rose on Monday, heading for its best session in nearly two weeks as the dollar retreated before this week’s key U.S. inflation reading that could influence the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this month.
Spot gold climbed 0.4% to $1,924.60 per ounce by 1002 GMT, while U.S. gold futures rose 0.3% to $1,949.20...[LINK]
Even though the dollar has not posted a higher high for the move yet today it remains near breakout pricing and should remain a headwind against early gains in gold and silver.
While minimally lower US treasury yields provide a very small measure of week-ending short-covering activity, markets continue to lack a key internal fundamental driving force.
In retrospect, gold and silver withstood hawkish dialogue from three Fed members this week potentially signaling thinner and more orderly declines ahead...[MORE]
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Sep 8 (Reuters) -Gold firmed on Friday as the dollar came off six-month highs but bullion was still en route to a weekly fall on chances of one more U.S. interest rate hikes this year.
Spot gold was up 0.2% to $1,923.63 per ounce by 1037 GMT, but was set for a 0.8% weekly fall. U.S. gold futures rose 0.3% to $1,947.60...[LINK]